THE INTERNATIONAL Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that global uncertainty has risen to exceptionally high levels, with episodes of political fragmentation and turbulence likely to hurt economic growth prospects this year.
Ahead of the release of its World Economic Outlook today, the IMF published an analysis of its quarterly World Uncertainty Index (WUI) yesterday, which tracks uncertainty in 143 countries worldwide.
The IMF macroeconomists said the level of uncertainty was higher in developing countries, but was more synchronised across advanced economies with their tighter trade and financial linkages.
It said the index had spiked in the past around major events, such as the Gulf War, the Euro debt crisis, the Brexit vote and the Covid pandemic.
Several events in recent years, including the global financial crisis, political polarisation and trade…