As we approach 2025, global markets present a dynamic mix of opportunities and risks. Geopolitical tensions, shifting economic policies, and evolving consumer dynamics are reshaping the investment terrain.
The ability to cut through short-term noise and focus on long-term fundamentals is more important than ever. By adopting a systematic and evidence-based approach, investors can navigate these complexities and position themselves to seize opportunities across asset classes.
Trump-era Tariffs
Recent data indicates that the US economy is growing above trend, driven by robust consumer spending, declining political uncertainty as the election cycle stabilises, and a resilient labor market. These factors collectively point to potential upside surprises in US GDP growth for 2025.
Despite this acceleration in growth, inflation concerns remain muted. Inflation in the US is largely driven by the shelter…