DESPITE the re-rating in apparel retail shares following the formation of the Government of National Unity (GNU), valuations remain undemanding, with most apparel retailers trading below their historical average price-to-earnings multiples. Continued outperformance will likely require earnings upgrades, which have proven fairly elusive in the sector to date.
Prospects for faster gross domestic product growth, lower inflation, interest rate cuts and the potential benefits to consumption from the two-pot pension system should, however, support retail sales and earnings growth over coming quarters.
Truworths’ latest trading statement highlights the challenging trading environment in the near term. Weak South African operating performance is expected for financial year 2024, but likely marks a cyclical turning point.
Management is encouraged by early indicators, and they see the macro environment easing most significantly for…