THERE are two critical numbers to watch in the upcoming Budget Speech, as the government, the National Treasury, and Minister of Finance Enoch Godongwana seek to successfully chart a narrow path for the country’s fiscus through difficult terrain.
Following significant shortfalls in expected public income from tax revenue, these are the country’s budget deficit and its debt-to-GDP ratio.
Notably, both were revised upwards in the November 2023 Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement, as a weak global environment, and energy and infrastructure challenges weighed heavily upon the economy.
Consequently, the Treasury estimated that tax revenue would total R56.8 billion in 2023/2024, with a further R121.1bn shortfall over the next two years.
As a result, the forecast budget deficit has been revised from 4% in the 2023 Budget to 4.9%, while public…